South Africa is in a crisis. It has been in a crisis for two
decades, with most of the indicators of a healthy economy falling, with the
country losing its status as the most advanced and the largest economy on the
continent, with a flight of experienced and effective management heading off to
more congenial pastures, with the State Owned Entities heading ever more deeply
into financial and operational collapse. The government has ignored this, as
well it might. The ANC-led government has been responsible for the
mismanagement of the economy since it has been in power, using its position to
derive corrupt profits and simple corrupt diversion of funds from the State. It
has constantly asserted that it plans to stop corruption, a statement in every
State of the Nation Address by the President since 2010, but no action has been
taken to put meaning to those fine words. The people, the businesspeople and
the international investment community have taken note of the empty promises,
and are no longer willing to give any credence to such empty words. They want
action, and they want it NOW. The same disbelief applies to all of the
multitudinous plans announced by the Presidents – all of them- and the government
they represent. And the same demand for action NOW is present in the thinking of
those businesspeople and investors when they consider what they can do to pull
the country out of its multi-faceted crises, and, indeed, whether they wish to.
A small piece of advice has been offered in a book published
early this year – “Multiverse” – which analyses the cause of the many problems discernible
in the worked through the medium of quasi-science fiction. The book has been
read by many leaders of business and politics around the world, and the advice might
well be taken to heart by the President of South Africa.
“It is well known that your country has many plans, but that
no-one ever does anything to implement them. Part of the reason for that is
that the people who should be responsible for implementing them did not really
commit themselves to drawing them up, and so have no real reason to do the hard
work of implementing them, and the other part of the reason is that those plans
were pie in the sky. They represent a wish list, but no fairy godmother has
arrived with a magic wand to make them real. You need to call in the best experts
in the country, no matter their political affiliation, to make a realistic
evaluation of the state of the country, and then to formulate plans that will
bring it to where it should be. There must be no reliance on the past as an
excuse not to achieve the future. That past has happened, and you can’t manage
it now. You have to accept what is and go on from there. There must equally be
no reliance on reasons that you certainly know to be little more than political
posturing, and equally no commitment to a set of policies and ideologies that
no longer have a place in a real-world country. Nothing can be written in
stone, and nothing can be off the table. You need to evaluate each element of
your plan and take it to a logical conclusion, using only assumptions that can
be shown to be valid now.”
I have told you this because I believe that there should be
absolute clarity on our stance. Your government in the past has imposed laws
and regulations on your people and the companies on the basis that they have
the power to do so, without most people having the ability to avoid becoming subject
to such unfair laws. I know that the Ministers have blamed the dire economic
situation in the country on numerous factors, such as global warming, the
China-American trade war, White Monopoly Capital, and other similar reasons.
The real truth is simple. Investors avoid the country because they choose not
to donate a half of their shareholding to people nominated by the ruling Party.
They would rather go to another country where they can rely on the electrical
utility not doubling the cost of energy every three years while they allow the lights
to go out, simply because the political appointees are robbing the State-Owned
Entities blind while they employ twice as many people as are needed. simply to
keep the unions sweet. The businesspeople go to other countries and planets because
they can, and because they have not received a fair deal here. If you want to
create the millions of jobs that you need, you must offer the investors the sort
of deal that they will get elsewhere, from any honest government. You, as voters,
must insist that the people you elect, comply with the norms and standards that
you would want for yourselves. You must punish the Members of Parliament who
fail to hold the Executive to account, when it is clear to any thinking, fair
person that what they are doing is not right. You must make them believe that
they represent you [the voters] in every decision that they make. You have suffered
long enough at the hands of evil, greedy men and women. You will have one
opportunity, at the next election, to set the path for your country. If you make
the right decisions, you will enjoy the full support of the Integra Corporation
and many other similar companies throughout seventeen universes. Your country
will boom as it never has before. If you make the wrong decisions. you will condemn
South Africa to the group of failed States, the countries that are willing to
accept the excuses that their politicians offer them, rather than demanding
that they perform their duties to the high standard required by their salaries.”
In a discussion of the reasons for the state of the nation, an
analysis of the President was made:
“We don’t think that he [the President] is an inherently bad
man but sometimes the job is more than he can cope with. His response to such a
situation is first to spend a lot of time hesitating and then, when we push him
for action, to turn to the people he knows, the people in his Party, who are
more than willing to give him the advice that best suits their desires, or
simply to defer the matter, to delay making a decision or to pass the
responsibility for it to a group of so-called ‘experts’, who are, more often
than not, people who have sold him on their supposed capabilities and who are,
almost by definition, people he has come to know as a result of their Party
connections. Of course, they earn big fees for doing the work, and their
interests are best served by inflating the problem far more than is really required.
They produce a report at the end of weeks or months, with seven hundred pages of
waffle and recommendations that are in line with Party thinking, when what he
really needed was a one-page summary of the facts, and another page setting out
three or four possible ways to go, each with a ‘why’ and a ‘why not’.”
The book contains many items of wisdom and insight, and
should be made required reading by every politician and businessperson, possibly
every High School student.
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